The difference between EBITDA, net profit, and cash flow, and how it affects your company’s valuation

In most M&A transactions, a company’s price is communicated as a multiple of EBITDA. That is what appears in headlines, press releases, and conversations between buyers and sellers.

Even though EBITDA multiples are communicated, the analysis used by the buyer is usually different.

  • Buyers are not valuing your company based on EBITDA; they are valuing it based on the free cash flow it can generate.

The EBITDA multiple is simply how they package the final offer so that it looks comparable to other transactions. It is a communication format, not the basis of the calculation.


Why Free Cash Flow drives M&A

Although EBITDA is useful for measuring operating profitability before interest, taxes, and amortization, it has two important problems:

  • It is not real cash. It is an accounting metric that does not reflect investment needs or the timing of collections and payments.
  • It ignores critical elements for investors, such as working capital, CapEx, taxes, provisions, financing structure, seasonality, and asset maintenance levels.

This is why most buyers ask themselves:

How much of your EBITDA actually becomes available cash?

This metric is called EBITDA-to-Free Cash Flow conversion, and it evaluates the real ability of the business to generate cash.

“Infographic showing how to move from EBITDA to Free Cash Flow. It explains the adjustments required to calculate cash flow, including CapEx, changes in working capital, taxes, and interest, and shows the impact of each component on EBITDA-to-cash-flow conversion.”


The buyer’s key formula

Investors typically calculate this ratio:

EBITDA-to-Cash Flow Conversion (%) = (Operating Cash Flow / EBITDA) × 100

Where Operating Cash Flow is obtained by subtracting from EBITDA:

  • changes in working capital
  • necessary CapEx to maintain or grow
  • effective interest and taxes
  • non-recurring adjustments or provisions that actually impact cash

A 70%, 60%, or 40% conversion completely changes how a buyer evaluates a company.
Two companies with the same EBITDA may have very different values if one requires more investment or has more demanding working capital.

This aligns with many of the typical comparisons in your infographics: EBITDA, Net Profit, and Cash Flow can tell completely different stories.


Why this ratio matters so much to buyers

Because it allows them to:

• Assess financial efficiency

A business with high working capital or CapEx needs converts EBITDA poorly, which directly affects valuation.

• Calculate real payback

It doesn’t matter if EBITDA is €1M if only €600k becomes operating cash.
The buyer thinks in terms of investment recovery.

• Benchmark the company against its industry

In asset-intensive sectors such as logistics, industry, or retail, EBITDA conversion is more important than growth itself.
Your practical-case infographics make this very clear.

• Determine the sustainability of the business

Businesses with rising EBITDA but declining cash raise red flags.
In M&A, cash is what confirms whether the model truly works.


Why a high EBITDA can be misleading

Because a buyer may say:

“Your EBITDA is €1M, but your free cash flow is only €300k.
My offer has to reflect that.”

And what they do is translate that cash flow analysis into an EBITDA multiple so it looks like they are “paying X times EBITDA.”
But the real basis of the valuation is FCF.

This is why you see deals “at 5x,” “at 8x,” or “at 12x,” when the buyer is actually doing:

  • estimation of sustainable FCF
  • forecasting FCF into the future
  • adjusting for risk, founder dependence, seasonality, or CapEx
  • applying their target return
  • converting the result back into an EBITDA multiple

This part never appears in the press release, but it determines the price.


Practical example: turning an income statement into EBITDA and Free Cash Flow

Income Statement

Sales: €10,000,000
COGS: minus €6,500,000
(costs directly associated with the service such as fuel, maintenance, driver salaries, and tolls)

Gross Margin: €3,500,000

Operating Expenses: minus €2,500,000
(indirect costs such as administration, rent, utilities, and marketing)

Depreciation and Amortization: minus €200,000

EBIT: €800,000
(profit before interest and taxes)

Interest Expense: minus €100,000
(costs associated with debt)

EBT: €700,000

Taxes (15%): minus €105,000

Net Profit: €595,000


EBITDA Calculation

EBITDA = EBIT + Depreciation and Amortization
EBITDA = €800,000 + €200,000
EBITDA = €1,000,000


Free Cash Flow Calculation

From EBITDA, the buyer subtracts all elements representing actual cash outflows:

  • CapEx: €300,000
  • Change in Working Capital: €100,000
  • Interest: €100,000
  • Taxes: €105,000

FCF = €1,000,000 – 300,000 – 100,000 – 100,000 – 105,000
Free Cash Flow = €395,000


EBITDA-to-Cash Flow Conversion

If you take only operating cash flow, conversion is around 70%.
If you take FCF after CapEx and working capital, conversion is closer to 40%.

The difference is huge and completely changes the valuation, because it shows how a company with an attractive EBITDA can generate much less cash after covering its operating and investment needs.


What does this mean for a seller?

  • Prepare working capital
  • Show stable and coherent CapEx
  • Justify FCF variations over recent years
  • Focus on real cash rather than EBITDA
  • Use EBITDA conversion as a selling point if it is high

EBITDA, Net Profit, and Cash Flow: three metrics that tell different stories

In listed companies, net profit often plays a central role because it is used to calculate earnings per share, assess accounting profitability, and compare multiples such as PER. In that context, net profit matters because it is directly tied to the performance demanded by the market quarter after quarter.

In M&A the logic is different.

The buyer does not analyze the company thinking about shares or earnings per share. They analyze it as a complete economic unit and need to understand how much cash the business actually generates after covering all operating, tax, and investment requirements.

Net profit includes many elements that do not represent real cash outflows, such as:

  • amortization
  • accounting provisions
  • accrual-based tax adjustments
  • extraordinary impacts
  • effects of the seller’s current financing structure

Since that financing structure almost always changes after the acquisition, net profit stops being a useful reference for the buyer.

This is why, in an acquisition, net profit helps understand accounting profitability, but it is not the metric that determines valuation. What the buyer wants to know is:

  • how much investment the business needs each year
  • how working capital behaves
  • how much of EBITDA becomes cash
  • how stable that cash flow is
  • how much cash remains available to repay debt or reinvest

When comparing EBITDA, net profit, and cash flow, it is common to find very large differences between the three figures. A company may show an attractive net profit and solid EBITDA yet generate little cash if its CapEx is high or its working capital consumes resources repeatedly.

By Joshua Novick, partner at Bondo Advisors

Source: https://www.joshuanovick.com/p/como-se-valora-una-empresa-ebitda


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