Forvis Mazars, an international firm providing audit, tax, legal, and consulting services, presents its global private equity market outlook for 2026, revealing that cross-border strategic growth and technology-driven value creation will be key to leading the sector in the coming year.

Based on the opinions of more than 800 private equity professionals worldwide, including Spain, the 2026 Global Private Equity Report shows an industry transitioning from prolonged disruption to a strategy-led value creation phase.

In the latest edition of the report, industry executives highlight improved confidence in market conditions, greater selectivity in capital deployment, and the growing influence of technology—particularly artificial intelligence—on investment and operational performance.

Agustín Fernández Miret, Partner and Head of Private Equity at Forvis Mazars in Spain, notes, “Private equity is entering a phase of consolidation and specialization. Funds show a clear preference for companies with the capacity for profitable growth, strong operational levers, and international ambition. Sectors such as technology, healthcare, and professional services are leading activity, driven by digital acceleration and the need to scale business models. Although the financial environment remains challenging, we observe greater clarity in valuations and renewed investor appetite, especially in buy & build strategies and companies with global expansion potential.”

Matthieu Boyé, Partner and Director of Private Equity at Forvis Mazars Group, explains, “Globally, market conditions are entering a period of stabilization, although uncertainty persists. After a prolonged phase of limited activity, deal-making is beginning to return, but in a more selective manner. In private markets, there is renewed willingness to close transactions as buyers and sellers gradually adjust valuation gaps. Technology, including AI, supports better decision-making, but expert insight remains central.”

Key Findings from the Report

  • Investment strategies: Firms are increasingly focusing on execution, prioritizing control, operational influence, and clearly defined value creation levers over deal size or quantity.
  • Portfolio performance: Portfolio performance shows continuity rather than disruption, generally in line with last year’s survey, with a slight reduction in underperforming exits compared to 2025.
  • Capital deployment: Investment decisions are increasingly conditioned by financing conditions, affecting expansion via acquisitions, investment capital structures, and exit timing across regions.
  • International investment: Continues to be a core driver of portfolio growth; most firms report growth in both domestic and cross-border markets, with cross-border strategies being particularly important for active investors.
  • Technology-driven investment: Has moved to the global forefront, with the TMT sector (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) as the number one target, reflecting the growing importance of digital capability in portfolio value creation.

Navigating Selective Market Stabilization

After years of macroeconomic and geopolitical turbulence, the private equity landscape shows signs of stabilization. Although financing conditions remain tight and exit timelines have lengthened, firms report greater conviction in portfolio performance and a more constructive growth environment.

Key challenges negatively impacting portfolio performance include:

  • 67% of private equity executives cite market and geopolitical uncertainty.
  • 48% cite increasing operational complexity.
  • 23% note misalignment with management.

To address these challenges, private equity firms are adapting their investment strategies. The study shows that growth capital remains the dominant global strategy, with 73% of respondents focusing on growth investments, far ahead of leveraged buyouts at 49%. This reflects a continued preference for strategies that support expansion while preserving flexibility in a higher-cost capital environment.

Redefining Performance and Value Creation

As market conditions stabilize unevenly, private equity firms are adapting strategies, capital structures, and time horizons to operate effectively in a more complex and demanding environment. While capital remains abundant, deploying it has become more challenging.

The report identifies a continued imbalance between capital availability and opportunities. Dry powder levels remain high, yet firms report difficulty finding assets that meet return expectations. Competition for high-quality assets is intense, and investment decision prudence is increasing.

Financing constraints have increased, with 58% of executives reporting that consolidation strategies were impacted—10 points higher than in 2025. Most respondents indicated they would have passed on at least 10% of deals, reflecting both higher confidence and selectivity.

Technology Surpasses Financial Services as Top Investment Target

In this context, strategy and sector focus are emerging as key differentiators. The TMT sector is now the primary target worldwide for 58% of respondents, slightly ahead of financial services (57%). Investors emphasize the growing importance of technology in supporting portfolio resilience and scalable growth. Sector focus and specialization are emerging as crucial differentiators in an increasingly competitive deal environment.

Operations and Longer Holding Periods Redefine Value Creation

With exits becoming more complex and valuations taking longer to align, private equity firms increasingly rely on operational levers. Report data shows:

  • Portfolio performance appears weaker in year three but improves significantly at exit, highlighting the importance of end-cycle value creation.
  • Extended holding periods are now a structural trend, driven by financing constraints and stalled M&A processes.
  • 69% of firms are extending fund lifecycles due to capital-raising difficulties, up from 54% in 2025.
  • Most firms report that value creation is driven by a mix of domestic and cross-border strategies.

As markets stabilize, the 2026 global private equity outlook clearly outlines the new path being explored in investment. Private equity firms capable of articulating and executing a compelling investment strategy will be better positioned to capture value in a more selective, performance-oriented cycle.

About Forvis Mazars Group

Forvis Mazars Group SC is an independent member of Forvis Mazars Global, a leading professional services network. Operating as an international firm across more than 100 countries and territories, Forvis Mazars Group specializes in audit, tax, and consulting services. The partnership leverages the expertise and knowledge of over 40,000 professionals worldwide to advise clients of all sizes at every stage of development.

Visit forvismazars.com for more information.

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