By Allan Cunningham ( Follow Allan in Linkedin )
In today’s competitive cash-fueled market, general partners have their work cut out for them. In my last post, I provided an overview of the private equity landscape. To get more deals done at higher returns, experts say you must build a broader, deeper deal pipeline and not completely rely on gross domestic product growth, multiple expansion and leverage.
In the United States, the most mature market, only 6 percent to 7 percent of U.S.-based companies have ever been in private equity hands. Proactively sourcing deals among the thousands of companies that could benefit from private equity ownership will be a key source of new, fruitful investment opportunities. Head downstream to fill the deal pipeline.
Bain estimates that 15 percent of firms with enterprise values in excess of $500 million are already owned by private equity firms. In comparison, private equity owns just 3 percent of firms with values under $100 million, says Bain’s report, “Global Private Equity 2014.” But for large funds, targeting this segment doesn’t make much sense, given the amount of capital required. Here, competition will be stiffer.
Expand the GP Mind
It’s time for more GPs to get creative and think outside of the buyout box. Partnerships and minority stakes may be less conventional, but can be more lucrative. Some of the biggest names in private equity are already dabbling. Blackstone invested $200 million for a 13 percent stake in the footwear company Crocs in December. Carlyle made a $500 million minority investment in audio company Beats last September — earning as much as an 80 percent return when Apple acquired the company a few months later.
And then there are always deals with other sponsors. There should be a large and good crop to choose from. More than half of private-equity backed companies in the United States were acquired before 2008, and their funds’ lives are ending. It’s time to sell and close out the books. General partners will rub elbows with corporate acquirers as well as other GPs. Competition for prime deals will be hot.
There’s no escaping it — in most cases the prices paid will be high. But the capital glut will not wag the dog: Private equity has never done a deal because of it. Instead the deals that are done need to deliver.
Alpha returns are influenced by scores of qualitative and quantitative factors across the full transaction curve. There’s no new secret to success. Of the deals GPs do, many more need to be winners than losers. Of those winners, it’s imperative to win big. And of course, the bigger the deal, the bigger the win, and the bigger the return.
Allan Cunningham is a senior media executive who has spent the last 15 years of his career working for some of the world’s most respected M&A and Private Equity media companies including Dow Jones’s publications Private Equity Analyst and VentureWire and most recently, The Deal. He has built a number of successful digital and event content businesses, both subscription and sponsor-supported, delivering information and content-marketing services to clients in the M&A and broader deal ecosystem. He recently struck out on his own and launched Rowayton Press, a multi-platform media company focused on the private capital opportunities in emerging and frontier markets. Mr. Cunningham holds a Bachelors degree from Liverpool John Moores University in the UK.